nbamazing … T.R.U.E. predicts SPURS over SUNS in 6

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T.R.U.E. Projection 2010 NBA Playoffs Round 2 Phoenix Suns vs. San Antonio Spurs I take the regular-season T.R.U.E. score and multiply it by the percentage of playoff playing time to get the TRUE-derivative score. I then compare the two team numbers, factor in home-court advantage and let the numbers determine the most likely seven-game scenario. Note: Any alterations made to T.R.U.E. or p-MPG will be denoted and explained below. SUNS score: +4.46 SPURS score: +9.11 T.R.U.E. Projection: SPURS IN 6 Chance of SUNS Series Win: 36% Chance of SPURS Series Win: 64% Suns ... T.R.U.E. ... p-PT%/p-MPG ... T-d Amare Stoudemire ... -0.70 ... .721/34.7 ... -0.50 Steve Nash ... +11.46 ... .687/33.0 ... +7.88 Jason Richardson ... +0.48 ... .672/32.3 ... +0.32 Channing Frye ... -0.07 ... .595/28.5 ... -0.04 Grant Hill ... -2.65 ... .562/27.0 ... -1.49 Jared Dudley ... +0.33 ... .445/21.3 ... +0.15 Leandro Barbosa ... -1.30 ... .324/15.5 ... -0.42 Louis Amundson ... -2.12 ... .318/15.3 ... -0.67 Goran Dragic ... +2.77 ... .313/15.0 ... +0.87 Jarron Collins ... N/A ... .286/13.7 ... -1.29 Earl Clark ... N/A ... .044/4.3 (3) ... -0.20 Dwayne Jones ... N/A ... .033/5.0 (2) ... -0.15 Robin Lopez ... -1.52* ... .000/0.0 ... injured SUNS score: +4.46 Spurs ... T.R.U.E. ... p-PT%/p-MPG ... T-d Tim Duncan ... +6.77 ... .773/37.2 ... +5.24 George Hill ... -1.23 ...